Existence, Stability and Sensitivity Analysis of Lyme Disease Using Caputo Fractional Dynamical Systems

  • Kashif Ullah
  • , Nayyar Mehmood
  • , Abdullah Eqal Al-Mazrooei
  • , Jamshaid Ahmad*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this article, mathematical modeling and stability analysis of Lyme disease and its transmission dynamics using Caputo fractional-order derivatives is presented. The compartmental model has been formulated to analyze the spread of Borrelia burgdorferi virus through tick vectors and mammalian hosts. The feasible region is established, and the boundedness of the model is verified. Analytically, the disease-free equilibrium and the basic reproduction number (Formula presented.) has been determined to assess outbreak potential. By virtue of the fixed-point theory, the existence and uniqueness of solutions has been established. The numerical simulations are obtained via the Runge–Kutta 4 method, demonstrating the model’s ability to capture realistic disease progression. Finally, sensitivity analysis and control strategies (tick population reduction, host vaccination, public awareness, and early treatment) are evaluated, revealing that integrated control measures significantly reduce infection rates and enhance recovery.

Original languageEnglish
Article number796
JournalFractal and Fractional
Volume9
Issue number12
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2025
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Lyme disease
  • dynamical systems
  • fractional derivative
  • local stability
  • numerical simulations
  • sensitivity analysis

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