Modelling and sensitivity analysis to control dengue through inclusion of genetically modified hybrid mosquitoes

  • Tahir Wasim
  • , Tariq Ismaeel
  • , Amir Naseem
  • , Thabet Abdeljawad*
  • , Manar A. Alqudah
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Dengue fever, an ancient yet persistent global health threat transmitted by mosquitoes, remains difficult to control. Recent advances propose genetically modified hybrid mosquitoes as a novel intervention. This study focuses on two primary control strategies: the Sterile Insect Technique (SIT) and genetic sterilization. SIT involves releasing sterile male mosquitoes to reduce populations through unsuccessful mating, while genetic sterilization targets mosquito reproduction or virus transmission capabilities. In our proposed model, modified mosquitoes are included in the susceptible vector compartment, denoted as (Formula presented.). Diagnosis and treatment are modeled with parameters (Formula presented.) and (Formula presented.). Field and laboratory studies suggest these methods effectively reduce mosquito populations and dengue incidence. A mathematical model is developed to study this strategy’s impact, incorporating the basic reproduction number (Formula presented.) and equilibrium analysis. Numerical methods are used to assess system stability and compute sensitivity indices (Formula presented.), ultimately demonstrating the potential for effective dengue control.

Original languageEnglish
Article number2500446
JournalMathematical and Computer Modelling of Dynamical Systems
Volume31
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Hybrid mosquitoes
  • dengue
  • reproduction number
  • sensitivity analysis
  • stability

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